Promenade Peak Zion Road

The Singapore property market in mid-2025 presents a more balanced and mature environment than the fast-rising market of the previous few years. After a period of sharp growth fueled by pent-up demand, supply chain bottlenecks, and low interest rates during the pandemic years, the property market is showing signs of stabilisation. While prices continue to inch upward, the pace has moderated significantly. Buyers and investors are now exercising more caution, influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties, tighter regulations, and affordability considerations.

This article explores key trends shaping today’s market: price movements, buyer sentiment, government policies, supply and demand dynamics, and future outlook.

Singapore’s government has maintained a proactive stance in cooling the market and safeguarding long-term affordability. A suite of measures—including Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD), Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR), and Seller’s Stamp Duty (SSD)—continues to moderate speculative activity.

In 2023, ABSD was raised further for foreigners (60%) and investors buying second or subsequent properties. The government signaled its commitment to preventing over-exuberance and ensuring that the housing market remains in line with economic fundamentals.

At the same time, the government is ramping up the supply of Build-To-Order (BTO) flats and private housing through the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme. This measured approach helps prevent both a glut and an undersupply, which could cause undue volatility.

The launch of new condominiums has continued in 2025, albeit at a more measured pace. Developers are strategically timing their launches and are focusing more on OCR and RCR regions, where demand remains resilient.

One recent example is Arina East Residences, launched in Q2 2025. It sold around 9% of its 107 units at an average price of $3,000 psf. This relatively muted response reflects growing price resistance among buyers. It could be partially due as the launch falls during June school holidays whereas many were away and the indicative launch price was set at average $3,500 which might turn off few. Generally Arina East in located at RCR, though its freehold status, the nearby properties at Tanjong Rhu have not translated pricing enough to support the new pricing.

Many are awaiting the few new launches at River Valley, Zion road, Orchard blvd which are the main core region in Singapore and good direct access to transport station, good schools nearby, more demand housing estate and at almost the same pricing. One of the awaiting development is Promenade Peak at Zion Road.

Key buyer preferences include:

  • Smaller, more efficient layouts to manage quantum

  • Proximity to MRT stations and good schools

  • Access to amenities such as hawker centres, malls, and nature parks

  • Lower maintenance fees and sustainable features

Developers are adapting by offering flexible floorplans, smart-home features, and pricing strategies that appeal to both owner-occupiers and investors.

One of the main undercurrents in the current market is the constrained supply of ready-to-move-in homes. In the HDB resale segment, the number of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) is declining—from around 30,000 in 2022 to under 7,000 in 2025.

This drop in supply is putting upward pressure on resale prices, especially in mature estates like Bishan, Queenstown, and Toa Payoh. Demand from upgraders, PRs, and families with school-going children remains strong.

In the private market, developers are working with limited landbank, especially in the city fringe. As a result, en bloc activity has started to pick up again in late 2024 and early 2025, with smaller developments in mature estates being prime targets.

One emerging issue in 2025 is the ongoing debate about the 1-kilometre school proximity rule. With many parents willing to pay a premium to live near popular primary schools like ACS, Raffles Girls, and Tao Nan, the policy has become a key driver of housing demand in select estates.

Some critics argue that the policy creates inequality in access to education and inflates property prices around elite schools. Others view it as a rational family decision that reflects Singapore’s strong emphasis on education.

Whatever the outcome of the policy review, school proximity remains a key factor for many buyers, particularly in districts like Bukit Timah, Marine Parade, and Bishan.

Looking ahead, the Singapore property market is likely to remain resilient but not exuberant. Most analysts expect price growth to stay moderate at around 3%–4% annually, with more stable volumes and lower volatility.

Interest rates will be a key variable. If global central banks start to cut rates in late 2025, home loan rates may ease and reignite some buying activity. However, any loosening will be gradual.

Singapore’s fundamentals—limited land, political stability, strong governance, and international appeal—will continue to support long-term demand.

Promenade Peak Zion Road

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